Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 232.216000 261.658965 294.423592 333.775839 380.003881 432.887646 498.395717
2024-11-03 194.242365 234.332791 283.040979 347.369463 431.296300 538.791728 689.747127
2024-11-10 175.701957 221.631504 280.784242 364.166967 481.375174 644.568919 897.085853
2024-11-17 156.862486 204.562888 268.761373 363.932647 505.865434 717.437380 1072.856923
2024-11-24 139.224875 186.303645 251.884414 353.084571 511.445056 761.306620 1211.744744
2024-12-01 125.515193 171.692045 237.947538 343.831113 516.748964 804.000835 1357.031134
2024-12-08 119.166988 166.788622 237.273120 354.196198 554.188593 905.905581 1635.641387
2024-12-15 111.824405 159.555676 232.083857 356.309392 577.545694 986.878848 1896.371280
2024-12-22 103.692742 150.313726 222.710819 350.075638 584.805957 1038.568237 2109.860734
2024-12-29 98.075758 144.454735 218.077186 351.193244 605.389729 1120.032037 2417.433894
2025-01-05 91.460819 136.448202 209.141508 343.547007 607.844036 1164.107579 2647.784653
2025-01-12 86.554738 130.820098 203.655092 341.456343 620.834276 1233.463567 2970.250631
2025-01-19 79.502651 121.283490 190.929887 324.907600 602.657843 1230.490587 3094.319029
2025-01-26 77.725657 120.452340 193.266679 337.390295 647.958076 1388.557824 3778.099775
2025-02-02 76.603855 120.613928 197.317048 353.649702 704.387592 1589.792810 4720.862420
2025-02-09 73.248797 116.636948 193.474524 353.416370 722.957470 1696.139828 5388.157208
2025-02-16 68.839435 110.509159 185.162047 342.961583 715.527000 1728.140720 5781.711663
2025-02-23 64.988143 105.149386 177.912125 334.040429 710.594834 1766.743684 6231.945476
2025-03-02 63.721253 104.372917 179.332631 344.033058 755.004467 1967.994879 7585.412660
2025-03-09 61.612346 101.911583 177.277016 346.069969 779.123993 2112.669534 8791.120039
2025-03-16 58.774256 97.928150 171.926849 340.060907 780.615048 2182.249538 9649.457804
2025-03-23 56.881877 95.609549 169.738792 341.138304 801.998246 2328.867113 11130.912351
2025-03-30 54.261395 91.767210 164.202063 333.766500 798.167497 2382.481986 12066.015758